Using a non-parametric method to characterize Markovian operators, we describe the evolution of the short-run inflation processes among the EMU countries between 1996 and 2012. While a progressive clustering pattern can be outlined in the first half of the period – showing that the monetary union makes price dynamics more homogeneous – starting from 2004, an increase in price volatility makes the clustering pattern unstable, as the analysis of the changing points of the inflation processes confirms.

Does European Monetary Union make inflation dynamics more uniform?

PORRO, GIUSEPPE
2014-01-01

Abstract

Using a non-parametric method to characterize Markovian operators, we describe the evolution of the short-run inflation processes among the EMU countries between 1996 and 2012. While a progressive clustering pattern can be outlined in the first half of the period – showing that the monetary union makes price dynamics more homogeneous – starting from 2004, an increase in price volatility makes the clustering pattern unstable, as the analysis of the changing points of the inflation processes confirms.
2014
inflation dynamics, EMU, Markov process, cluster analysis
S. M., Iacus; Porro, Giuseppe
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11383/1871720
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