Financial validation of the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons risk score predicting prolonged air leak after video-assisted thoracic surgery lobectomy

Objectives: The objective of this study was to verify whether the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons prolonged air leak risk score for video-assisted thoracoscopic lobectomy was associated with incremental postoperative costs. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 353 patients subjected to video-assisted thoracoscopic lobectomy or segmentectomy (April 2014 to March 2016). Postoperative costs were obtained from the hospital Finance Department. Patients were grouped in different classes of risk according to their prolonged air leak risk score. To verify the independent association of the prolonged air leak risk score with postoperative costs, we performed a stepwise multivariable regression analysis in which the dependent variable was postoperative cost. Results: Prolonged air leak developed in 56 patients (15.9%). Their length of stay was 3 days longer compared with those without prolonged air leak (8.3 vs 5.4, P < .0001). Their postoperative cost was higher than that of patients without prolonged air leak: $5939.8 versus $4381.7 (P = .001). After grouping the patients according to their prolonged air leak risk score, prolonged air leak incidence was 12.3% in class A, 13.7% in class B, 28.8% in class C, and 22.2% in class D (P = .020). The average postoperative cost was $4031.0 in class A, $4498.2 in class B, $6146.6 in class C, and $6809.3 in class D (analysis of variance test, P < .001). Multivariable regression analysis showed that being in classes C and D of PAL score (P = .001) and the presence of cardiopulmonary complications (P < .0001) were the only independent factors significantly associated with postoperative costs. Conclusions: We financially validated the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons prolonged air leak risk score for video-assisted thoracoscopic lobectomies, which appears useful in selecting those patients in whom the application of additional intraoperative interventions to avoid prolonged air leak may be more cost-effective.